solo mining probability
educational estimateDevice hashrate (approx.)
6.0 × 104 H/s
Seconds per year
3.1536 × 107 s
Network difficulty (approx.)
1.5 × 1014
Reward per block
3.125 BTC
Expected probability per year
P(block/year) = (H × S) / (D × 2^32)
Scientific notation
3.3 × 10−15
“1 in N” odds (approx.)
1 in 3 × 1014 (about 1 in 300 trillion) per year
The odds of finding a solo Bitcoin block with this setup are extremely small. This miner is best for learning, experimenting, or hobby use—not for profit expectations.